Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.095504 0.106596 0.118077 0.130820 0.144538 0.158834 0.174829
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.082611 0.099717 0.118402 0.140194 0.164778 0.191520 0.222676
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.067931 0.088301 0.111687 0.140196 0.173683 0.211444 0.256910
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.058036 0.080680 0.107855 0.142272 0.184087 0.232644 0.292664
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.049542 0.073434 0.103323 0.142516 0.191585 0.250036 0.323922
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.045978 0.071850 0.105323 0.150438 0.208248 0.278459 0.368711
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.043053 0.070639 0.107441 0.158271 0.224742 0.306831 0.413870
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.038141 0.066036 0.104510 0.159052 0.231913 0.323458 0.444579
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.032681 0.059982 0.099000 0.155842 0.233452 0.332682 0.465899
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.030651 0.058810 0.100142 0.161573 0.246785 0.357103 0.506744
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.028294 0.056845 0.099916 0.165234 0.257275 0.377907 0.543194
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.025953 0.054636 0.099104 0.167895 0.266322 0.396855 0.577436
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.023437 0.052032 0.097747 0.170030 0.275187 0.416428 0.613838
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.023320 0.053600 0.102974 0.182136 0.298505 0.456048 0.677643
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.020706 0.050410 0.100441 0.182470 0.305075 0.473145 0.711910
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.018830 0.048339 0.099522 0.185130 0.314965 0.494890 0.752700
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.016753 0.045596 0.097245 0.185488 0.321389 0.511865 0.787230
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.016408 0.046275 0.100789 0.195104 0.341667 0.548441 0.848904
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.016059 0.046887 0.104208 0.204574 0.361875 0.585178 0.911226
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.014497 0.044695 0.102476 0.205521 0.369118 0.603535 0.948288
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.012453 0.041128 0.097977 0.201651 0.368819 0.611029 0.970299
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.011966 0.041073 0.099925 0.208563 0.385206 0.642669 1.026303
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.011212 0.040279 0.100409 0.212972 0.397751 0.668899 1.075005